Friday, August 28, 2009

Reclaiming the Lost Grounds


For the past one week, the bourses worldwide, having surged more than 30 percent since March 09, 2009, have been struggling to hold on to their recently gained grounds. So far, it seems that the bourses worldwide are all poised to take off in a big way.

Be it the DJIA, the NASDAQ, the FTSE 100, the DAX 30, the CAC 40, the Nikkei 225, the Hang Seng, the Shanghai Composite, the Tel Aviv 100, the NSE 50, the BSE 30, all have surged like anything by more than 30 percent on the hope that the world’s economy is recovering from the Great Recession, and is bound to reap big returns in the near-term-to medium-term future.

Well, I have no doubt about this, as after every recession, the capitalist world strikes back even more vigorously than the pre-recession one to retain its lost grounds as quickly as possible. That’s the precise reason why the bourses have been running quite ahead of the market fundamentals. It’s not a wrong thing, as the bourses are meant for getting a hold on the future earnings at the least possible costs.

So, will the NSE 50 cross its 4730 barrier in the next couple of sessions, and will it cross 4850 in the next couple of weeks? I bet; it will. Just watch out! Go long.

Making Progress

What do you mean by making progress? And, how do you measure it? How do you measure qualitative progress, and, then, how do you interpret the quantitative measurement? Could you prorate your so far progress to assure yourself that you would be growing indefinitely at the same rate? If yes, then what are the assumptions that you are making, and are your assumptions justifiable? If no, then what are the impediments that you foresee, and how would you overcome them?

What is a neat rate of progress? How do you define neat, and on what bases? Well, I think I can help you out in aligning your weighted-matrix for the estimation of your progress. But, you need to benchmark your accomplishments on your own!

Should you need any further brainstorming related to your “making progress,” please feel free to get back to me. I would love to share my quantitative model for reasonably quantifying the progress made, both qualitative and quantitative.

Finally, no point for guessing the source of the caption! :-)